Modeling the Effect of School Closures in a Pandemic Scenario: Exploring Two Different Contact Matrices

• 2015

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• Issac Fung; Manoj Gambhir; John Glasser; Hongjiang Gao; Michael Washington; Amra Uzicanin
PMID: 25878302DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/civ086

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This article is about how closing schools during a flu pandemic can affect the spread of the disease. It describes using a model to see if school closures can delay when most people get sick, giving time for vaccines to be ready. The study found that closing schools might delay the peak of infections but won't reduce total cases unless combined with quick vaccination. The research used different contact patterns and showed that while school closures help, they can't stop an outbreak alone without other measures like vaccines being available early on.

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Tags

Focus Area: Infectious Disease

Audiences: Public Health Professionals; Schools & Childcare Providers

Emergency Management Stages: Mitigation; Response

Bundles: Disaster Research Literature Review

Keywords: Disaster Planning; Disease Outbreaks; Influenza, Human; Influenza Vaccines; Models, Theoretical; Public Health; Schools; Pandemics

Institutions: Georgia Southern University; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

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